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Stochastics and Statistics Seminar

Subvector Inference in Partially Identified Models with Many Moment Inequalities

March 15, 2019 @ 11:00 am - 12:00 pm

Alex Belloni (Duke University)


In this work we consider bootstrap-based inference methods for functions of the parameter vector in the presence of many moment inequalities where the number of moment inequalities, denoted by p, is possibly much larger than the sample size n. In particular this covers the case of subvector inference, such as the inference on a single component associated with a treatment/policy variable of interest. We consider a min-max of (centered and non-centered) Studentized statistics and study the properties of the associated critical values. In order to establish that we provide a new finite sample analysis that does not rely on Donsker’s properties and establish new central limit theorems for the min-max of the components of random matrices. Furthermore, we consider the anti-concentration properties of the min-max of the components of a Gaussian matrix and propose bootstrap based methods to estimate them. In turn this provides a valid data-driven to set the tuning parameters of the bootstrap-based inference methods. Importantly, the tuning parameters generalize choices of literature for Donsker’s classes (and showing why those would not be appropriate in our setting) which might better characterize finite sample behavior. This is co-authored with Federico Bugni and Victor Chernozhukov.

Link to paper: https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.11466

Alexandre Belloni is a Professor at Duke University. He received his Ph.D. in Operations Research from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (2006) and a M.Sc. in Mathematical Economics from IMPA (2002). He deferred the offer to join the faculty at Duke University to accept the IBM Herman Goldstein Postdoctoral Fellowship (2006-2007). Professor Belloni’s research interests are on econometrics, statistics and optimization. He received the 2007 Young Researchers Competition in Continuous Optimization Award. His research papers have appeared in journals such as Econometrica, Review of Economic Studies, Annals of Statistics, Marketing Science, Management Science and Operations Research. He serves as associate editor for different journals and is currently the Area Editor for Machine Learning and Data Science at Operations Research.

MIT Statistics and Data Science Center host guest lecturers from around the world in this weekly seminar.

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