Abstract: Many areas of the physical, engineering and biological sciences make extensive use of computer simulators to model complex systems. Confidence sets and hypothesis testing are the hallmarks of statistical inference, but classical methods are poorly suited for scientific applications involving complex simulators without a tractable likelihood. Recently, many techniques have been introduced that learn a surrogate likelihood using forward-simulated data, but these methods do not guarantee frequentist confidence sets and tests with nominal coverage and Type I error control,…

Title: Interpolation and learning with scale dependent kernels Abstract:  We study the learning properties of nonparametric ridge-less least squares. In particular, we consider the common case of estimators defined by scale dependent (Matern) kernels, and focus on the role scale and smoothness. These estimators interpolate the data and the scale can be shown to control their stability to noise and sampling.  Larger scales, corresponding to smoother functions, improve stability with respect to sampling. However, smaller scales, corresponding to more complex functions,…

Abstract:  Self-supervised learning is an increasingly popular approach for learning representations of data that can be used for downstream representation tasks. A practical advantage of self-supervised learning is that it can be used on unlabeled data. However, even when labels are available, self-supervised learning can be competitive with the more "traditional" approach of supervised learning. In this talk we consider "self supervised + simple classifier (SSS)" algorithms, which are obtained by first learning a self-supervised classifier on data, and then…

Abstract: Matrix completion is the study of recovering an underlying matrix from a sparse subset of noisy observations. Traditionally, it is assumed that the entries of the matrix are “missing completely atrandom” (MCAR), i.e., each entry is revealed at random, independent of everything else, with uniform probability. This is likely unrealistic due to the presence of “latent confounders”, i.e., unobserved factors that determine both the entries of the underlying matrix and the missingness pattern in the observed matrix.  In general,…

Abstract: Motivated by applications such as particle tracking, network de-anonymization, and computer vision, a recent thread of research is devoted to statistical models of assignment problems, in which the data are random weight graphs correlated with the latent permutation. In contrast to problems such as planted clique or stochastic block model, the major difference here is the lack of low-rank structures, which brings forth new challenges in both statistical analysis and algorithm design. In the first half of the talk,…

Abstract: Reinforcement learning (RL), which is frequently modeled as sequential learning and decision making in the face of uncertainty, is garnering growing interest in recent years due to its remarkable success in practice. In contemporary RL applications, it is increasingly more common to encounter environments with prohibitively large state and action space, thus imposing stringent requirements on the sample efficiency of the RL algorithms in use. Despite the empirical success, however, the theoretical underpinnings for many popular RL algorithms remain…