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Data Science and Big Data Analytics: Making Data-Driven Decisions

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IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Natesh Pillai (Harvard)

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IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Vikash Mansinghka (MIT)

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IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Pierre E. Jacob (Harvard University)

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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Stanislav Minsker (USC)

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IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Daniel Simpson (University of Toronto)

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Statistics and Data Science Seminar Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser, (University of Geneva)

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IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Jonathan Huggins (Boston University)

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Behavior of the Gibbs Sampler in the Imbalanced Case/Bias Correction from Daily Min and Max Temperature Measurements

Natesh Pillai (Harvard)
E18-304

IDS.190 Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation *Note:  The speaker this week will give two shorter talks within the usual session Title:   Behavior of the Gibbs sampler in the imbalanced case Abstract:   Many modern applications collect highly imbalanced categorical data, with some categories relatively rare. Bayesian hierarchical models combat data sparsity by borrowing information, while also…

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Probabilistic Programming and Artificial Intelligence

Vikash Mansinghka (MIT)
E18-304

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Abstract: Probabilistic programming is an emerging field at the intersection of programming languages, probability theory, and artificial intelligence. This talk will show how to use recently developed probabilistic programming languages to build systems for robust 3D computer vision, without requiring any labeled training data; for automatic modeling…

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The Planted Matching Problem

Cristopher Moore (Santa Fe Institute)
E18-304

Abstract: What happens when an optimization problem has a good solution built into it, but which is partly obscured by randomness? Here we revisit a classic polynomial-time problem, the minimum perfect matching problem on bipartite graphs. If the edges have random weights in , Mézard and Parisi — and then Aldous, rigorously — showed that…

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Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods and Some Attempts at Parallelizing Them

Pierre E. Jacob (Harvard University)
E18-304

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Abstract: MCMC methods yield approximations that converge to quantities of interest in the limit of the number of iterations. This iterative asymptotic justification is not ideal: it stands at odds with current trends in computing hardware. Namely, it would often be computationally preferable to run many short…

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Towards Robust Statistical Learning Theory

Stanislav Minsker (USC)
E18-304

Abstract:  Real-world data typically do not fit statistical models or satisfy assumptions underlying the theory exactly, hence reducing the number and strictness of these assumptions helps to lessen the gap between the “mathematical” world and the “real” world. The concept of robustness, in particular, robustness to outliers, plays the central role in understanding this gap.…

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Esther Williams in the Harold Holt Memorial Swimming Pool: Some Thoughts on Complexity

Daniel Simpson (University of Toronto)
E18-304

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation Speaker: Daniel Simpson (University of Toronto) Abstract: As data becomes more complex and computational modelling becomes more powerful, we rapidly find ourselves beyond the scope of traditional statistical theory. As we venture beyond the traditional thunderdome, we need to think about how to cope with this additional…

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Accurate Simulation-Based Parametric Inference in High Dimensional Settings

Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser, (University of Geneva)
E18-304

Abstract: Accurate estimation and inference in finite sample is important for decision making in many experimental and social fields, especially when the available data are complex, like when they include mixed types of measurements, they are dependent in several ways, there are missing data, outliers, etc. Indeed, the more complex the data (hence the models),…

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Using Bagged Posteriors for Robust Inference

Jonathan Huggins (Boston University)
37-212

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation **PLEASE NOTE ROOM CHANGE TO BUILDING 37-212 FOR THE WEEKS OF 10/30 AND 11/6** Speaker:   Jonathan Huggins (Boston University) Abstract: Standard Bayesian inference is known to be sensitive to misspecification between the model and the data-generating mechanism, leading to unreliable uncertainty quantification and poor predictive performance.…

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