Probabilistic Inference and Learning with Stein’s Method

Lester Mackey (Microsoft Research)
37-212

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation **PLEASE NOTE ROOM CHANGE TO BUILDING 37-212 FOR THE WEEKS OF 10/30 AND 11/6** Speaker: Lester Mackey (Microsoft Research) Abstract: Stein’s method is a powerful tool from probability theory for bounding the distance between probability distributions.  In this talk, I’ll describe how this tool designed to prove central limit theorems can be adapted to assess and improve the quality of practical inference procedures.  I’ll highlight applications to Markov chain sampler selection, goodness-of-fit testing, variational…

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Using Bagged Posteriors for Robust Inference

Jonathan Huggins (Boston University)
37-212

IDS.190 – Topics in Bayesian Modeling and Computation **PLEASE NOTE ROOM CHANGE TO BUILDING 37-212 FOR THE WEEKS OF 10/30 AND 11/6** Speaker:   Jonathan Huggins (Boston University) Abstract: Standard Bayesian inference is known to be sensitive to misspecification between the model and the data-generating mechanism, leading to unreliable uncertainty quantification and poor predictive performance. However, finding generally applicable and computationally feasible methods for robust Bayesian inference under misspecification has proven to be a difficult challenge. An intriguing approach is…

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