Stochastics and Statistics Seminar

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Scaling Limits of Neural Networks

Boris Hanin, Princeton University
E18-304

Abstract: Neural networks are often studied analytically through scaling limits: regimes in which taking to infinity structural network parameters such as depth, width, and number of training datapoints results in simplified models of learning. I will survey several such approaches with the goal of illustrating the rich and still not fully understood space of possible behaviors when some or all of the network’s structural parameters are large. Bio: Boris Hanin is an Assistant Professor at Princeton Operations Research and Financial…

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Evaluating a black-box algorithm: stability, risk, and model comparisons

Rina Foygel Barber, University of Chicago
E18-304

Abstract: When we run a complex algorithm on real data, it is standard to use a holdout set, or a cross-validation strategy, to evaluate its behavior and performance. When we do so, are we learning information about the algorithm itself, or only about the particular fitted model(s) that this particular data set produced? In this talk, we will establish fundamental hardness results on the problem of empirically evaluating properties of a black-box algorithm, such as its stability and its average…

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Statistical Inference with Limited Memory

Ofer Shayevitz, Tel Aviv University
E18-304

Abstract:  In statistical inference problems, we are typically given a limited number of samples from some underlying distribution, and we wish to estimate some property of that distribution, under a given measure of risk. We are usually interested in characterizing and achieving the best possible risk as a function of the number of available samples. Thus, it is often implicitly assumed that samples are co-located, and that communication bandwidth as well as computational power are not a bottleneck, essentially making the number…

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Winners with Confidence: Discrete Argmin Inference with an Application to Model Selection

Jing Lei, Carnegie Mellon University
E18-304

Abstract:  We study the problem of finding the index of the minimum value of a vector from noisy observations. This problem is relevant in population/policy comparison, discrete maximum likelihood, and model selection. By integrating concepts and tools from cross-validation and differential privacy, we develop a test statistic that is asymptotically normal even in high-dimensional settings, and allows for arbitrarily many ties in the population mean vector. The key technical ingredient is a central limit theorem for globally dependent data characterized…

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